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16,876 mercados abiertos
Fed Decision in October?
  • No change51%Sí
  • 25 bps increase48%Sí
  • 50+ bps increase1%Sí
Política29 oct.
Next French Presidential Election
  • Marine Le Pen43%Sí
  • Édouard Philippe19%Sí
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%Sí
Política19 abr.
Brazil Presidential Election
  • Flávio Bolsonaro60%Sí
  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva41%Sí
  • Renan Santos1%Sí
Política5 oct.
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
  • June 30, 202712%Sí
  • December 31, 20262%Sí
  • September 30, 20261%Sí
Política1 jul.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
1%probabilidad
Sí1¢No99¢
Política1 oct.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
  • March 3179%Sí
  • December 3160%Sí
  • November 3045%Sí
Política1 ene.
Trump renames AI by...?
  • December 3199%Sí
  • October 3198%Sí
  • September 3097%Sí
Política1 ene.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
  • June 30, 202741%Sí
  • December 317%Sí
  • September 301%Sí
Política1 jul.
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
  • Magdalena Andersson75%Sí
  • Ulf Kristersson18%Sí
  • Ebba Busch3%Sí
Política14 set.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
  • Gadi Eizenkot50%Sí
  • Benjamin Netanyahu30%Sí
  • Naftali Bennett16%Sí
Política28 oct.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
  • September 3097%Sí
  • October 782%Sí
  • October 1572%Sí
Política1 nov.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14%probabilidad
Sí14¢No86¢
Política1 ene.
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
  • 180-19940%Sí
  • 200-21922%Sí
  • 160-17921%Sí
Política2 oct.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
  • JD Vance21%Sí
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%Sí
  • Jon Ossoff12%Sí
Política8 nov.
Elon Musk # tweets September 28 - September 30, 2026?
  • 40-6465%Sí
  • <4029%Sí
  • 65-896%Sí
Política30 set.
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
  • Democrats Sweep63%Sí
  • R Senate, D House28%Sí
  • Republicans Sweep8%Sí
Política4 nov.
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
1%probabilidad
Sí1¢No99¢
Política1 oct.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
22%probabilidad
Sí22¢No78¢
Política1 ene.
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
  • December 31, 202670%Sí
  • October 31, 202641%Sí
  • September 30, 20268%Sí
Política1 ene.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
5%probabilidad
Sí5¢No95¢
Política1 nov.
Which party will win the House in 2026?
  • Democratic Party93%Sí
  • Republican Party9%Sí
  • Party D—Sí
Política4 nov.
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
  • 180-19925%Sí
  • 200-21920%Sí
  • 160-17917%Sí
Política6 oct.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez19%Sí
  • Gavin Newsom17%Sí
  • Jon Ossoff16%Sí
Política8 nov.
Fed Decision in December?
  • 25 bps increase75%Sí
  • No change24%Sí
  • 50+ bps increase2%Sí
Política10 dic.
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